NFL Championship Sunday picks Aaron Rodgers Packers avenge regular-season loss to Tom Brady

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Despite the ongoing pandemic and multiple games being rescheduled throughout the season, we have made it to Championship Sunday. The two No. 1 seeds are still alive, as is the No. 2 seed in the AFC -- but the surprise team is the No. 5 seed . Then again, you can never rule out in the postseason no matter what seed he is. He's the postseason all-time leader in starts (43), completions (1,065), pa sing yards (11,968), pa sing touchdowns (77) and Super Bowl titles (6). Chris Tierney Women Jersey He will have his work cut out for him against the , however, who are out to avenge the 38-10 beatdown they suffered at the hands of the Buccaneers in Week 6 of the regular season.Interestingly enough, the and also faced off in Week 6 of the regular season, when and Co. came out on top, 26-17. Mahomes was dealing with a concu sion/head injury this past week, but he announced on Friday that , and will play in the AFC Championship Game.Below, I will give you my picks for Championship Sunday, and also give you my picks regarding the total as well. Let's jump in!All are via William Hill Sportsbook. Sunday, 3:05 p.m. ET (Fox) Latest Odds: Green Bay Packers -3 The most recent development when it comes to this matchup is that the Bucs will be without wide receiver . Brady would surely rather have Brown on the field than not have him, but Brown caught just one pa s for 10 yards in the divisional round against the , and Brady has actually thrown Ryan Callahan Kids Jersey more touchdowns and has a better pa ser rating when Brown is off the field this postseason. Bottom line, I wouldn't let this development affect where you are leaning on this matchup.As for who I'm picking, I'm going with the Packers. Green Bay has won seven straight games by seven or more points for the first time since 1997, and during that streak, has recorded 24 total touchdowns and thrown just one interception. The Packers had no problem with the in the divisional round, defeating them 32-18. Rodgers and the offense tore apart the Rams' top-ranked defense, as they racked up 484 yards of total offense and 28 first downs. Both of those numbers are the most allowed by the Rams in a game all season. This offense has been on an absolute roll, and last week, the Packers scored 32 points on nine drives -- which averages out to 3.56 points per drive. They have now scored 3.09 points per drive this season, which is on pace Jason Spezza Women Jersey to be the most in a single season since 2000. Another reason I like the Packers is because I think Rodgers has been playing with a major chip on his shoulder. When detractors questioned if he would get along with first-year head coach Matt LaFleur, the Packers went 13-3 and made it all the way to the NFC Championship Game. Then, when detractors tabbed the Packers as a prime candidate to regre s in 2020, they again went 13-3 and made it to the NFC championship. Additionally, Rodgers played what was objectively his worst game of the season against the Buccaneers, and you know that's also fresh in his mind. As for the total, the Packers have gone Over in six straight playoff games (50-plus total points scored in each game). The Over/Under has risen this week, but I'll still take it. Projected score:Packers 31-24The pick:Packers -3.5Over/Under: Over 52Sunday, 6:40 p.m. ET (CBS) Latest Odds: Kansas City Chiefs -3 In their Week 6 matchup, the Chiefs won via the ground game. Chris Driedger Jersey Rookie running back accounted for 161 of the Chiefs' 245 rushing yards as Kansas City came out victorious. It was a weird situation, however, as the Monday matchup was rescheduled multiple times the week prior. You have to give the Bills' defense credit for how they have been playing lately, as they held the to just three points in the divisional round. Craig Anderson Jersey That's tied for the Ravens' fewest amount of points in any game under John Harbaugh and any postseason game in franchise history. We know that the Chiefs and Bills both have explosive offenses, but Buffalo hasn't been so explosive in the postseason. They have been out-gained by both teams they have played in the playoffs, and -- out of the four remaining teams in the postseason -- the Bills are last in total yards of offense per game (308.5), last in pa sing yards per game (244.5) and last in rushing yards per game (64). The Bills scored just 17 points against the Chiefs earlier this year, scored 17 last week against the Ravens and the Chiefs held the to just 17 points last week as well. The Bills are going to have to score a bunch of points on Sunday and get away from that Logan Brown Men Jersey 17 number, and I'm not sure that will happen.The Chiefs have been a terrible team to bet on recently. In Mahomes' last eight starts, the Chiefs are 8-0 with all eight wins coming by six points or fewer. Since Week 9, they are an NFL-worst 1-8 against the spread. However, this spread isn't too big, so I think the Chiefs can cover this week. The Bills have had an incredible season and are an elite team in the AFC, but it's just hard to go against Mahomes and the Chiefs. As for the total, everyone seems to be expecting offensive fireworks in this matchup -- which makes me think we won't get that. William Hill has the Over/Under at 54 points, which is pretty high. My lean is to the Under. Projected score:Chiefs 28-21The pick:Chiefs -3Over/Under:Under 54
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